IS THIS THE END OF KEVIN PM?
Is it all over for Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister?
Two polls out today – Newspoll and Herald/Nielsen- show that Kevin Rudd has two chances to become PM: Buckleys and none.
In the Newspoll Ms Gillard is 14 points ahead of Mr Abbott as preferred PM.
In the last fortnight her support rose from 39 per cent to 46 per cent, while Mr Abbott’s fell from 38 per cent to 32 per cent. Labor’s primary vote rose three points to 36 per cent while the Coalition shed five points to 41 per cent.
The latest Herald/Nielsen poll, also records Labor continuing a slow and steady climb out of the doldrums and that PM Gillard’s personal standing is improving.
Ms. Gillard leads Mr Abbott as preferred prime minister by 47 per cent to 44 per cent. These are Mr Abbott’s worst figures since he became Coalition leader in 2009.
However, according to Fairfax today, if Kevin Rudd were restored to The Lodge, it would give the ALP an election-winning lead.
But would it?
On the sheer numbers, perhaps: “The poll shows that in a hypothetical match-up between Mr Rudd and Mr Abbott, Labor’s primary vote would jump 10 points to 44 per cent, the Coalition’s would fall 4 points to 41 per cent. This would give Labor a two-party-preferred lead of 53 per cent to 47 per cent.”
However there’s one thing mere numbers cannot register – and that’s the almighty political fallout from such a move.
The Nielsen poll director, John Stirton said there would certainly be a boost for the ALP under Mr. Rudd, whose popularity, the poll shows, is in decline (Mr Rudd has fallen from 62 per cent as preferred leader three months ago to 55 per cent today) but it would be hard to tell how high that bounce would be, or how long it would last.
Many saw Mr Rudd’s interview with Leigh Sales from ABC’s 7.30 from China, given whilst the PM was on compassionate leave, as evidence he still has leadership ambitions.
Today we are asking you:
Should Kevin Rudd give away any thoughts of being PM entirely?
Or, no matter how slim his chance, should he take it now?